Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Paused: What It Means for U.S. Pork Producers

In a last-minute decision, U.S. President Donald Trump has postponed the implementation of 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico for at least 30 days, following discussions with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. The move comes as both countries take steps to address U.S. concerns regarding border security and drug trafficking.

What This Means for Pork Producers

The initial tariff announcement had sparked immediate concerns within the pork industry, as Canada and Mexico are two of the top export destinations for U.S. pork. Had the tariffs gone into effect, the industry was bracing for potential retaliatory measures that could have significantly disrupted trade and led to lower pork prices.

  1. Avoiding Retaliatory Tariffs – For Now
    Canada had planned to impose immediate countermeasures, including a 25% tariff on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, with pork and beef among the targeted products. Similarly, Mexico was expected to respond in kind, threatening U.S. pork exports to a market that reached an estimated $2.55 billion last year. With the pause, those retaliatory tariffs are off the table—at least temporarily.
  2. Uncertainty Still Looms
    While the delay provides a temporary reprieve, the situation remains fluid. If negotiations fail, the tariffs could still take effect after the 30-day window, putting the pork industry back on edge. With the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) still in place and set for renewal in 2026, trade tensions could complicate long-term relations.
  3. China Tariffs Remain in Place
    While North American tariffs are on hold, Trump’s 10% tariff on Chinese imports remains active. The ongoing trade dispute with China continues to weigh on U.S. pork producers, who rely on Chinese demand—especially after the country’s struggle with African Swine Fever in recent years.

Industry Response & Next Steps

Pork producers and trade organizations are relieved that Canada and Mexico’s retaliatory measures have been put on hold, but they are pushing for a long-term solution to avoid disruptions. The 30-day window now offers an opportunity for industry leaders to advocate for continued free trade under USMCA while working to ensure that agriculture remains insulated from broader political disputes.

For now, producers will closely monitor negotiations and prepare for potential supply chain adjustments if tariffs are reinstated in early March.

Swine Web will continue to provide updates as this situation develops.