Commentary by Kevin Grier: Shifting Hog Flows in Western Canada

The Canadian pork market is experiencing notable changes in hog flows and slaughter rates, particularly in Western Canada. Key players such as Olymel, Donald’s Fine Foods, and Maple Leaf are making strategic moves impacting these dynamics. Olymel’s downsizing has led to reduced slaughter rates in Alberta and Saskatchewan, influencing the flow of market hogs between provinces. For instance, hog shipments from Alberta to Manitoba have significantly decreased, while those from Saskatchewan to British Columbia have increased. These shifts reflect competitive adjustments aimed at optimizing plant capacities and maintaining market stability. The changes underscore the evolving landscape of hog procurement and processing in the region, highlighting the need for ongoing strategic adaptation among industry players.

Detailed Breakdown:

  1. Olymel Downsizing Impact:
    • Closure of sow facilities in Alberta and Saskatchewan.
    • Alberta slaughter rates down 6%, with a reduction of 34,000-38,000 head in Q2.
    • Saskatchewan to Alberta hog movements down by 35,000 head in Q2.
  2. Shifts in Hog Movements:
    • Decreased Alberta to Manitoba hog flows (down to 20,000 from 35,000 in Q2).
    • Increased Saskatchewan to BC hog flows (up by 400-600 head/week).
  3. Strategic Responses:
    • Olymel contracting more Alberta hogs, affecting Britco and BC plants.
    • Maple Leaf redirecting hogs from Alberta to Lethbridge and Brandon plants.
    • Donald’s prioritizing Langley over Moose Jaw, shifting Saskatchewan hogs westward.

These adjustments highlight the competitive landscape and strategic positioning among major players in the Western Canadian pork industry.